Uma análise do consumo agregado brasileiro com uma simulação baseada em agentes

Abstract

The logistics network quality is an important aspect of commercial relations between countries, especially in the case of agricultural goods, since speed and care in delivery are extremely important because are products with greater perishability. Thus, this work aims to assess the impact of logistical efficiency on agricultural goods exports, in the period from 2007 to 2018, for a group of 168 countries. For that, it was proposed to carry out a descriptive analysis of a logistic efficiency indicator and to estimate a regression based on the gravitational model. The descriptive analysis showed that the countries with the worst performance are the poorest and on the African continent, while those with the best results are considered advanced. The regression revealed that higher logistical quality positively affects agricultural exports. Thus, it is necessary to discuss which policies and actions can be taken in order to improve the logistics network in countries, by stimulating projects that aim to improve infrastructure, especially transport modes, and make customs procedures more efficient.