O impacto do programa “Fica Vivo!”: uma análise dos crimes violentos em Governador Valadares-MG

Abstract

The State of Minas Gerais implemented the Fica Vivo! Program—a well-established public policy in the area of public security—with the goal of reducing homicides in municipalities with high levels of crime. The target audience is young people between the ages of 12 and 24. In recent decades, the mesoregion of Vale do Rio Doce has been considered the third most violent in the state, with particular emphasis on the municipality of Governador Valadares - MG. In addition to this, the first Fica Vivo! unit was established in the Turmalina neighborhood in 2008, followed by another in Carapina in 2013. However, a key question arises: what was the impact of the Fica Vivo! Program on the homicide rate in Governador Valadares - MG between 2000 and 2020? To answer this, different data sources will be used to estimate the causal effect through the Synthetic Control Method. The results found were significant in support of the hypothesis of a reduction in the homicide rate in Governador Valadares.