Análise de faltas em sistemas elétricos de potência considerando dados incertos

Abstract

Fault Analysis, also known as short-circuit analysis, is essential both in the planning and the operation of an electric power system. This analysis is usually done in a deterministic way for data values in an instant of time. However, the power system is dynamic and his parameters are subject to variations. Thus, using the deterministic model has become inaccurate face the numerous simulations required to represent all the combinations of possibles variations involved in the problem. This paper proposes to incorporate interval mathematics to fault analysis, in a way to represent the parameter uncertainties as intervals and therefore generate interval results of voltage and current in the short-circuited bar, reflecting these uncertainties. Therefore, the basic objective is to model and implement a method for interval fault analysis. Two test systems, one with 5 bars and the other with 14 bars, are used to generate voltages and currents interval in the fault point. These results are validated by Monte Carlo simulation.